AFCON 2025: favourites through, surprises brewing after dramatic group phase

Nengi Ernest
4 Min Read
Paul Onuachu celebrates his first AFCON goal

The AFCON 2025 group stage closed with the sense that the tournament is only just warming up, despite six days of relentless football, late drama and 87 goals spread across 24 matches.

By the time the final whistles blew, the familiar names were largely where many expected them to be, but the routes they took there, and the teams chasing them, told a far richer story about the state of African football.

Nigeria set the benchmark early. Three wins from three, control without caution, and a side that looked increasingly comfortable as pressure grew. Ademola Lookman emerged as the creative heartbeat, not simply scoring and assisting, but dictating rhythm and balance in advanced areas. Few teams left the group phase, looking as complete.

AFCON 2025: favourites through, surprises brewing after dramatic group phase
Ademola Lookman

Morocco, buoyed by home support, mixed patience with precision. They did not overwhelm every opponent, but when openings appeared, they were ruthless. Ayoub El Kaabi and Brahim Díaz provided goals, while the hosts’ composure suggested a side built for the long haul rather than early fireworks.

Morocco
Morocco

Egypt’s progress was quieter but no less effective. Mohamed Salah’s goals arrived at decisive moments, allowing the Pharaohs to navigate tight games without ever chasing them. It was a reminder that tournament football often rewards control as much as creativity.

AFCON 2025: favourites through, surprises brewing after dramatic group phase
Mohammed Salah

Elsewhere, Senegal leaned on experience. Nicolas Jackson supplied the cutting edge, Sadio Mané the authority. Their group campaign was less about flair and more about knowing when to accelerate and when to manage moments, a familiar trait of champions.

AFCON 2025: favourites through, surprises brewing after dramatic group phase
Nicholas Jackson and Sadio Mane

Algeria, however, offered the cleanest group-stage statement. Three matches, three wins, and a side that rarely looked stretched. Riyad Mahrez’s goals stood out, but the balance around him hinted at a team comfortable in both dominance and disruption.

AFCON 2025: favourites through, surprises brewing after dramatic group phase
Riyad Mahrez

Côte d’Ivoire and Cameroon advanced from a group where youth left a clear imprint. Amad Diallo delivered when it mattered most for the Ivorians, while teenagers Karl Etta and Christian Kofane showed Cameroon’s next generation is already knocking on the door.

Ivory Coast's Amad Diallo (left)
Ivory Coast’s Amad Diallo (left)

Beyond the headline names, the group phase belonged to resilience. Mali, South Africa, Tunisia, DR Congo, Sudan, Benin, and Mozambique all found ways to survive without commanding matches, proving that structure, discipline, and belief still carry weight at AFCON. Tanzania’s progress as a third-placed side was another reminder that fine margins often define success.

Not everyone made it through. Angola, Zambia, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Comoros, Uganda, and Botswana depart with lessons rather than points, many undone not by lack of effort but by brief lapses in concentration or finishing.

As the tournament moves into the knockout rounds, the numbers fade into the background. What remains is a draw stacked with pedigree, contrasting philosophies and teams who now know that control can vanish in a single moment.

The group stage may be over, but its message is clear: AFCON 2025 has not yet shown its hand, and the most unforgiving football is still to come.

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Nengi Ernest is a sports journalist, writer, and broadcaster covering African football. Her work spans domestic leagues, national teams, and major international tournaments, including match analysis and feature storytelling across the men's and women's games.
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